Explore the Intellectual Network →Bezalel Index
Human beings are generally biased towards dismissing what has not yet occurred as something “without substance”.
(Those with a cognitive profile like mine—HSNN—tend to operate in the opposite direction.)
At best, such possibilities are reduced to vague statements such as “there may be a risk”.
In most cases, people are unable to confront—or even model—these possibilities as plausible realities.
Moreover, even if a future collapse is successfully prevented, it is not immediately possible to prove that it was prevented.
For this reason, such efforts must be treated as a separate category—long-term investment in prevention.
Otherwise, preventive action and risk mitigation cannot be fairly or rationally evaluated.
From a management perspective, however, the evaluation criterion for preservation is surprisingly simple:
“Nothing has happened” should itself be the basis of assessment.
That is all.
If the number of realised errors remains significantly below the predicted risk level, the evaluation should be high.